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本文为“老外看疫情”系列文章的第10篇，作者系尤里·塔夫罗夫斯基（Yury Tavrovsky），俄罗斯莫斯科伊兹博尔斯克俱乐部“俄罗斯梦和中国梦”研究中心主任。中文版由张婷婷翻译，刊于2月9日中国日报网；英文版刊于2月12日 China Daily 。
“中国人，中国人来了！”两名男子在莫斯科地铁“展览馆”站一边跑一边喊叫。我四周环顾了一下，看到附近一个中国旅游团正在给蔚为壮观的“宇宙征服者纪念碑”拍照。这两名男子穿着环卫工人的马甲制服，看起来像是来自中亚的移民。而非常繁忙的地铁站附近的其他人却一点没有被带着口罩的一群中国游客吓到。莫斯科人知道发生在中国的新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情，人们通过电视关注并讨论着疫情，对武汉和其他被感染地方的人们抱以同情。
起初，俄罗斯人非常害怕这种能够致死的病毒蔓延到自己的国家，他们担心自己的城市会像武汉一样。但是，很快，大量主流媒体开始报道说中国的情况可控，中国医务人员付出了巨大的牺牲，中国政府采取了有效的措施阻止了疫情的进一步蔓延。作为中国问题专家，最近我受邀写了很多文章，并在几档国家电视节目中发表了自己的看法。我一直强调，像西伯利亚和欧洲洪灾、澳大利亚和加利福尼亚火灾以及中国之前的非典一样，新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情是另外一种自然灾难。传染病专家强调了新型冠状病毒的低致死率，以及中国医务人员的专业性。然而，也有一些专家在电视节目中责备中国人，说他们的生活方式是导致当前传染病爆发的主要原因。“他们人太多了，并且都聚集在大城市，空气、土壤和水都被污染了，食物短缺，所以不得不吃蝙蝠和蛇。”类似的评论在当下很多国家都可以看到，尤其是普通网民，他们关注一些具有民族主义色彩，甚至是非常激进的报道。这样看来，即便疫情结束了，我们也将会不得不和另一种传播到全球的疾病作斗争，那就是 “黄祸论”。“黄祸论”历史悠久，并且具有“传染性”，最早我们可以追溯到19世纪中期的鸦片战争，我们也可以在著名的1882年美国《排华法案》中看到。在冷战中，我们也听到了来自美国国务院高级官员，是如何用激进的言论形容中国的。目前，有很多报道都证实，在美国、德国、英国和意大利都出现了排外袭击事件。基于对中国奇迹的恐惧和嫉妒，此次新型冠状病毒可能会引发新的看似“文明”版本的“黄祸论”。中国过去40多年的改革开放成果令人敬畏，“中国特色社会主义”过去70年的建设成效是不能被否认的。未来，中华民族的伟大复兴也是不可避免的。国外一些人对此不以为然，毕竟整个人类史载满了不同文明的成功例子。一些人分析了中国经验，尽可能将“中国梦”惠及本国。然而，也有很多人不想跟中国分享自己的“顶层空间”，中国人用他们自己制定的规则取胜令他们非常不悦。因此，文明间的竞争不可避免地超出了贸易战的界线，并蔓延到民族和种族领域。中国不是“仙境中的爱丽丝”，不能任凭任何人的一时兴起变大或变小。中国的工业、科学和技术发展不可能被停止或者减缓的。﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌﹌
'Yellow peril' virus more contagious and condemnable
"The Chinese! The Chinese are coming!" Two men were running and shouting at the entrance of the Exhibition subway station in Moscow. I looked around and saw a group of Chinese tourists taking pictures of the elegant and gigantic Monument to the Explorers of Space.The two men were wearing the uniform jackets of street cleaners and looked like migrant workers from Central Asia. Other people near the very busy subway station were not at all surprised or terrified at the view of a dozen of tourists wearing masks. People in Moscow know about the novel coronavirus epidemic in China, discuss it, watch TV programs and sympathize with people of Wuhan and other parts of the stricken country.Of course the Russians at first were full of fear that the lethal virus will reach their cities and they will look like the deserted streets of Wuhan. But pretty soon the mainstream mass media explained that the situation in China is under control and the sacrificial efforts of Chinese medics and the efficient measures of the government to control further spread of disease are showing the desired effects.As an expert on China, I have been asked to write many articles and speak on several national TV shows recently. I have explained that the novel coronavirus is just another natural calamity for the mankind like the floods in Siberia and Europe, forest fires in Australia and California or previous epidemics before. Specialists on viruses and epidemics have stressed the relatively low mortality rate of the new coronavirus and the dedication and professionalism of Chinese medical workers. Still some experts on the shows started to blame Chinese people saying that their way of life is the main reason for current and previous epidemics. "There are too many of them. They are concentrated in huge cities. Their air, soil, and waters are polluted. They lack food and have to eat bats and snakes … "Comments of this sort can be found nowadays in many countries, especially among netizens. They concentrate on national or even racial aspects of the coronavirus epidemic in China. It looks like even after this epidemic is over we will have to fight another disease spreading around the world. It is called "yellow peril". It is very old. It is very contagious. We can trace "yellow peril" back to the Opium Wars in the mid-19th century. We see it in the infamous "Chinese Exclusion Act" of 1882 in America. We hear racist explanations of the inevitable "Cold War" with China from high-ranking officials of the US State Department. There are already reports of xenophobic attacks on the streets of cities in the United States, Germany, England and Italy.The novel coronavirus has triggeed the new "civilized" edition of the "yellow peril". It is based on envy and fear of the Chinese Miracle. The results of the reform and opening-up over the past 40 years have been formidable. The efficiency of socialism with Chinese characteristics in the past seven decades cannot be denied. The future great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation is inevitable.The entire history of mankind is full of the rise and fall of different civilizations. Some people analyze the Chinese experience and try to use elements of the Chinese dream for the benefit of their own nations. Yet there are people who do not want to share room at the top. They are not happy with the Chinese winning the game according to the rules set by themselves. They are changing the rules in the middle of the current party and say the winners are not playing fair. Being adepts of the monotheistic Judeo-Christian religion they cannot permit another nation to rule the world, especially if that nation is "godless". That way the competition inevitably spills over the boundaries of the trade war into civilization and race.China is not Alice drinking her potion in Wonderland. It cannot become bigger or smaller at anybody’s whim. Its industrial, scientific and technological development cannot be stopped or even slowed. Still there is one thing China can and should do. It can still be modest. Of course, it is impossible now to "stay in the shadows" according to Deng Xiaoping’s advice. But Chinese people who work in international communication sector should not mix internal and external stories. "Triumphalism" is often counterproductive overseas. Chinese experts should not overestimate Chinese wisdom against European wisdom at international conferences.International and interracial matters are very delicate. It is utterly irresponsible to speculate on them. Especially at a time of epidemics or other natural calamities.The author is head of the Russian Dream and Chinese Dream Research Center of the Izborsk Club, Moscow. 中国人民大学重阳金融研究院（人大重阳）成立于2013年1月19日，是重阳投资董事长裘国根先生向母校捐赠并设立教育基金运营的主要资助项目。
作为中国特色新型智库，人大重阳聘请了全球数十位前政要、银行家、知名学者为高级研究员，旨在关注现实、建言国家、服务人民。目前，人大重阳下设7个部门、运营管理4个中心(生态金融研究中心、全球治理研究中心、中美人文交流研究中心、中俄人文交流研究中心)。近年来，人大重阳在金融发展、全球治理、大国关系、宏观政策等研究领域在国内外均具有较高认可度。